Do You Believe The Political Polls ?
Election 2020!! Who's in the lead? What are their chances? What do the polls say?? Wait, after the 2016 election, do you even trust the polls? Our blogger buddy Tim Bryce really doesn't. He writes about problem with the polls in his recent column.
"As we enter another major electoral cycle, we begin to hear more from political polling organizations, most of which I do not trust. They were dead wrong in the 2016 presidential election. So much so, their credibility has yet to recover."
Tim reminds us that polling companies are not pro bono operations. They are in the business to make money. As Tim says,"they are there to make money to support their operations. They do not make money for predictable results, but rather by the unexpected, just like the sensational press."
You can find Tim's article here and he goes into some detail about the various polling companies and polling track records. It's a good read and recommended. He concludes this way. "Something to remember from the 2016 election; going into voting day, the polls said Mrs. Clinton had already clinched the election. Her supporters become too confident and failed to show up on election day, and we know the rest of the story. A similar phenomenon will likely occur again in the 2020 race where the polls and news media will claim a victory for the Democrats. What they fail to mention is how the Republicans distrust the media. Also, the impeachment hoax has energized the president’s base and will encourage more people to vote. In all likelihood, the 2020 election will be the largest voter turnout in our history, and I didn’t need a poll to figure this out."